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Analysis · Polymarket Analysis| Nov 5, 2026
Gadi Eizenkot odds jump as Israel vote certification drives post-election repricing
Eizenkot’s next-prime-minister odds rose sharply, likely as markets reacted to Israel’s election commission saying certified results should stand.
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? chart

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Most recent prediction market briefings.

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 6? chart
Analysis · Polymarket Analysis
US-Iran Hormuz agreement market plunges as no qualifying official deal emerges
Nov 4, 2026
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? chart
Analysis · Polymarket Analysis
US-Iran diplomatic meeting odds rise on renewed nuclear-talk signals
Nov 3, 2026
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? chart
Analysis · Polymarket Analysis
Gadi Eizenkot next-Israeli-PM odds rise sharply as Netanyahu market sells off
Nov 2, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? chart
Analysis · Polymarket Analysis
Strait of Hormuz traffic odds edge up on oil repricing and energy-security signals
Nov 1, 2026

More articles

43 posts
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? chart
Analysis · Polymarket Analysis · Oct 31, 2026
U.S. Iran Blockade-End Odds Rise on Deadline Repricing, Not Official Announcement
Odds rose sharply from a low base, likely reflecting near-deadline positioning rather than evidence of a qualifying U.S. announcement.
Oct 31, 2026
Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? chart
Analysis · Polymarket Analysis · Oct 30, 2026
Ra’am 8+ seats market surges as Israeli election deadlock enters vote-count phase
The market for Ra’am winning at least eight Knesset seats jumped toward certainty, most likely as traders reacted to Israel’s post-election
Oct 30, 2026
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? chart
Analysis · Polymarket Analysis · Oct 29, 2026
Eizenkot next-PM odds drop as Israeli election counts point to Netanyahu edge and deadlock
Gadi Eizenkot’s next-prime-minister market fell sharply after partial Israeli election results showed no clear winner and Netanyahu’s bloc a
Oct 29, 2026
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? chart
Analysis · Polymarket Analysis · Oct 28, 2026
Netanyahu first-mandate odds surge on Israel vote and coalition-stage focus
Netanyahu’s first-mandate market jumped sharply as voting moved into counting and coalition expectations became the central pricing question
Oct 28, 2026
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? chart
Analysis · Polymarket Analysis · Oct 27, 2026
Maduro end-2026 leadership odds rise on no direct transition signal
Polymarket raised the odds that Nicolás Maduro remains Venezuela’s official head of state at end-2026, likely reflecting no direct successio
Oct 27, 2026
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? chart
Analysis · Polymarket Analysis · Oct 26, 2026
Gadi Eizenkot next Israeli PM market slips as election-week uncertainty drives repricing
Eizenkot’s odds edged lower over 24 hours, likely reflecting election-week uncertainty after a sharp seven-day rise.
Oct 26, 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? chart
Analysis · Polymarket Analysis · Oct 25, 2026
U.S.-Iran invasion odds rise on Strait of Hormuz escalation headlines
The market moved higher after reports of tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz, with diplomatic signals offering only partial offset.
Oct 25, 2026
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? chart
Analysis · Polymarket Analysis · Oct 21, 2026
NATO-Russia clash odds rise on Black Sea deployments and allied defence signals
Odds of a NATO-Russia military clash by Dec. 31, 2026 rose, likely on Black Sea deployments, Russia-linked strike reports, and official alli
Oct 21, 2026
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? chart
Analysis · Polymarket Analysis · Oct 20, 2026
No Hormuz Agreement odds fall as agreement-linked legs rally
Polymarket’s No Hormuz Agreement contract fell sharply over 24 hours, most likely on a shift into agreement-linked outcomes.
Oct 20, 2026
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? chart
Analysis · Polymarket Analysis · Oct 19, 2026
Eizenkot Next Israeli PM Odds Fall as Election-Week Leadership Risk Reprices
Gadi Eizenkot’s next-prime-minister market fell sharply, with traders reacting to election-week leadership and security framing.
Oct 19, 2026
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? chart
Analysis · Polymarket Analysis · Oct 18, 2026
Oil ≥$85 and Democratic Senate odds jump on high WTI and midterm signals
The combined oil-above-$85 and Democratic Senate outcome rose sharply, likely reflecting WTI still far above the threshold and Democratic-fa
Oct 18, 2026
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? chart
Analysis · Polymarket Analysis · Oct 17, 2026
Bab el-Mandeb closure odds rise on chokepoint and energy-supply signals
Odds of a Bab el-Mandeb effective closure by Dec. 31 rose, apparently reflecting official chokepoint concerns, oil-stock news, and broader r
Oct 17, 2026