Geopolitics Intelligence Platform
Global Political Spotlight
GPS turns geopolitical news, official signals, prediction markets, and advanced metrics into structured intelligence for analysts who need context before events become consensus.
Latest Intelligence
Today on GPS
US end-of-Iranian-blockade (Oct 31) odds jump on extreme 24h repricing; no new US policy signal
The Oct 31 contract rose 6.5pp to 44% on an extreme 24h spike, likely a timing reprice alongside a smaller uptick in the year-end variant and despite no new US government announcement.
Ukraine-Russia Strikes Hit Moscow and Kharkiv
Drone and missile attacks widened pressure on Moscow, Kharkiv and the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant area.
Nepal, Wildfires and Drones Drive Policy
Official announcements highlighted disaster response, consular aid, EU scrutiny and defence technology across seven country clusters.
Denmark Reopens Embassy in Syria
Denmark reopened its embassy in Syria and linked the move to reconstruction, diplomacy, and humanitarian support for displaced Syrians.
Today's Market Signal
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
- The repricing appears driven by timing realignment across adjacent markets: the year‑end variant (Dec 31, 2026) also rose over 24 hours (+2.7pp to 62.3%), while nearer‑dated windows remain weaker.
- The move occurs without a corresponding, newly published US policy statement on ending or suspending the blockade in the provided government feed as of August 31–September 1, suggesting positioning rather than policy confirmation.
- The backdrop includes softer energy and low volatility: Brent crude is $88.58/bbl, down 3.9% over 7 days, and the VIX is 14.92, down 5.9% over 7 days — conditions that do not point to an acute supply or risk shock.
What GPS Provides
One intelligence layer across news, events, markets, and metrics
Intelligence Briefings
Daily and weekly summaries that compress geopolitics into analyst-ready context.
Government Monitoring
Structured coverage of official statements, policy shifts, and institutional signals.
Prediction Market Analysis
Narrative context for probability changes, liquidity, and event-risk pricing.
Research Tools & Metrics
Advanced filters, market dashboards, and metrics for deeper geopolitical workflows.
Intelligence Workflow
From global events to structured intelligence
GPS follows a simple pipeline: collect information, classify it, analyze the signals, and turn the results into usable intelligence products.
Collect
GPS gathers signals from news sources, official statements, prediction markets, and high-impact geopolitical events.
Classify
The data is sorted by topic, country, institution, event type, and relevance so each signal becomes easier to search and compare.
Analyze
GPS applies data analysis to detect patterns, sentiment, market movement, and emerging geopolitical risk signals.
Publish
The strongest signals are turned into briefings, metrics, dashboards, country pages, and explainers.
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