Main market

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Market description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

See More
Live

Market Snapshot

Last price
16%
Trend
Up
Slope/day
0.37%
24h volume
$188.8K
Liquidity
$655.2K
MA overlay

Popular geopolitics markets

Browse the most active geopolitics contracts right now.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17¢

Yes price

Vol

$188.8K

Yes 16.5%No 83.5%

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4.0¢

Yes price

Vol

$64.1K

Yes 4.0%No 96.0%

Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

0.05¢

Yes price

Vol

$7.8K

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

6.5¢

Yes price

Vol

$123.0K

Yes 6.5%No 93.5%

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7.5¢

Yes price

Vol

$23.4K

Yes 7.5%No 92.5%

Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

0.15¢

Yes price

Vol

$488.8

Yes 0.1%No 99.9%

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

3.5¢

Yes price

Vol

$22.2K

Yes 3.5%No 96.5%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

18¢

Yes price

Vol

$90.9K

Yes 17.5%No 82.5%

Trump out as President before 2027?

5.5¢

Yes price

Vol

$20.6K

Yes 5.5%No 94.5%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

1.1¢

Yes price

Vol

$62.0K

Yes 1.1%No 98.9%

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

3.9¢

Yes price

Vol

$10.8K

Yes 3.9%No 96.2%

Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?

0.65¢

Yes price

Vol

$28.8K

Yes 0.7%No 99.4%

Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

0.15¢

Yes price

Vol

$365.6

Yes 0.1%No 99.9%

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?

13¢

Yes price

Vol

$3.2K

Yes 12.5%No 87.5%

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

83¢

Yes price

Vol

$4.1K

Yes 83.5%No 16.6%

Israel closes its airspace by September 30?

97¢

Yes price

Vol

$90.6K

Yes 96.8%No 3.3%

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?

17¢

Yes price

Vol

$51.7K

Yes 16.5%No 83.5%

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

2.3¢

Yes price

Vol

$85.8K

Yes 2.3%No 97.8%

Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

0.05¢

Yes price

Vol

$187.4K

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

0.05¢

Yes price

Vol

$187.4K

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%