Israel
12 articles · 6 recent · 2 source types
Eizenkot’s odds for next Israeli PM jumped to 52% with extreme zscores, driven by rotation from Netanyahu contracts and strong onexchange flow.
Brussels summit advanced Moldova’s EU path, with the European Commission detailing €504m in support plus security and border funding on 22 June 2026.
LebanontorecognizeIsrael odds plunged 15 pp as the June 30 cutoff nears with no official act evident; official statements focused elsewhere.
Lebanon recognizing Israel by June 30 odds fell 49pp to 20.8%, amid border escalation and a looming deadline requiring formal recognition.
UK and Ghana unveiled a 20262028 Growth Partnership with £215 million in investment for jobs, trade, infrastructure, skills and reforestation, HM Government said.
UK announced a Strategic Partnership with Armenia as the EU signed a Connectivity Partnership and launched a security mission, deepening ties with Yerevan.
European Commission confirms €180m, 6year sovereign cloud procurement to strengthen secure, compliant services for EU institutions and bolster digital sovereignty.
Four European foreign ministers urged Israel to drop a bill expanding capital punishment, citing discrimination risks and threats to democratic commitments.
U.S. and Israeli militaries struck over 15,000 Iranian targets in 10 days, severely degrading Iran's missile and drone capabilities.
Israel–Syria security deal odds rose 2.5pp to 12% but remain lower w/w. Mixed signals and firmer oil keep expectations subdued.
Israel–Hezbollah ceasefire odds surged on news of Israel–Lebanon talks and coordinated government statements. Extreme 24h move; confirmation hinges on formal t...
Odds of an Israeli strike on Iranian soil by Apr 21 fell 29pp to 22%, tracking U.S. Hormuz mine‐clearing and ceasefire signals. Move is an extreme 24h repricin...
Market probability for Iranian regime collapse by June 30, 2026, declines amid rising regional conflict and military actions.