
Israel
24 articles · 15 recent · 2 source types
The EU urged Israel to withdraw the E1 settlement tender, saying the plan threatens the twostate framework and worsens West Bank tensions.

The State Department sanctioned 9 Cubanlinked entities and 3 individuals, extending an August campaign targeting Havana’s military and economic networks.

Netanyahu ‘Next PM’ odds rose to 32% (+7pp, 24h) on Polymarket, aligning with UK diplomatic signals and AP reporting on Gaza coordination tensions.

The European Commission approved Italian regional aid for farm, fishing and aquaculture firms facing fuel and fertiliser cost pressures.

France linked a Russian missile breach of Polish airspace to wider European security risks and reaffirmed support for NATO defence posture.

Odds Venezuela recognizes Israel by Dec 31, 2026 plunged 45pp to 12%, following fresh Mideast security signals and UK/EP statements; extreme 24h move.

Brussels summit advanced Moldova’s EU path, with the European Commission detailing €504m in support plus security and border funding on 22 June 2026.

UK and Ghana unveiled a 20262028 Growth Partnership with £215 million in investment for jobs, trade, infrastructure, skills and reforestation, HM Government said.

Odds of an Israeli airspace closure fell 9.5 pp to 36%, amid reports of no new U.S. strikes on Iran and an EU signal of no immediate oilsupply concerns.

UK announced a Strategic Partnership with Armenia as the EU signed a Connectivity Partnership and launched a security mission, deepening ties with Yerevan.

Odds of a Trump–Netanyahu meeting by July 31 surge to 90%, likely on White House scheduling signals and U.S. strikes on Iran focusing nearterm diplomacy.

European Commission confirms €180m, 6year sovereign cloud procurement to strengthen secure, compliant services for EU institutions and bolster digital sovereignty.

Polymarket odds of an Israel airspace closure by July 31 surged to 35% amid Iranwar headlines and European government statements, an extreme weekly repricing.

Odds of Israel closing its airspace by July 31 jumped to 27%, likely on reports of Iran–US strikes near Israel and sustained official focus on regional risks.

Odds of Israel closing its airspace by July 31 fell to 20%, likely on timewindow compression and lack of official closure signals, with related markets also d...

Eizenkot’s odds for next Israeli PM jumped to 52% with extreme zscores, driven by rotation from Netanyahu contracts and strong onexchange flow.

LebanontorecognizeIsrael odds plunged 15 pp as the June 30 cutoff nears with no official act evident; official statements focused elsewhere.

Lebanon recognizing Israel by June 30 odds fell 49pp to 20.8%, amid border escalation and a looming deadline requiring formal recognition.

Israel–Syria security deal odds rose 2.5pp to 12% but remain lower w/w. Mixed signals and firmer oil keep expectations subdued.

Israel–Hezbollah ceasefire odds surged on news of Israel–Lebanon talks and coordinated government statements. Extreme 24h move; confirmation hinges on formal t...