Polymarket Topic Hub
China Polymarket Briefs
China-linked policy, trade, Taiwan, and regional security market narratives.
2 Topic Results
Topic matching combines canonical topic keywords with optional Sanity topic synonyms.
Polymarket Analysis • Mar 21, 2026
Taiwan invasion odds tick down slightly as risk focus shifts to Iran conflict
The market eased 0.2pp to 10.5% in the past 24h, a normal move that appears linked to attention centering on the Iran war and broader risk tone, with no new Taiwan-specific catalysts.
YES 9.8%-0.1 ppCloses Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket Analysis • Mar 20, 2026
Odds of US forces entering Iran by Mar 31 plunge over the week as traders push risk into April
The market fell about 17pp over the past week to 18%, likely reflecting the shrinking March window and cross-market pricing that places higher odds on an April entry.
YES 0.0%-0.5 ppResolved