Sanctions
9 articles · 3 recent · 3 source types
Polymarket odds of a US announcement ending the Iran blockade by Dec 31, 2026 fell on firm sanctions and enforcement signals.

Odds of an Iran–Oman Hormuz agreement by Sept 30 fell 21.5pp to 37%, amid US pressure on Iran trade and no qualifying joint statements.

Odds of a US announcement ending the Iran blockade by Sep 30 rose to 40% after reports on Iran’s fuel shortages and new US sanctions; extreme 24h spike.

US–Iran permanent peace odds jumped to 41% on mediation and regional ceasefire headlines, with mixed policy signals and extreme zscores indicating a sharp rep...

US–Iran peace odds jumped to 59% on extreme repricing, amid US policy signals favoring economic pressure and stronger regional ceasefire bets.