Israel

Iran continues missile attacks on Israel and Gulf neighbors despite U.S. warnings, while former President Trump calls for intensified military action. The conflict impacts regional security, global energy markets, and diplomatic relations.

Former President Trump weighs military options on Iran's Kharg Island while diplomatic talks continue. Israel plans Lebanon invasion expansion as inflation rises in Germany linked to Iran conflict.

The conflict involving Iran has reached one month, marked by an Iranian strike injuring U.S. troops in Saudi Arabia and Israel intercepting a missile from Yemen. European leaders express concern over the war’s trajectory amid rising regional tensions.

This week in politics saw a fragile US Department of Homeland Security funding deal amid operational risks, escalating conflict between Israel and Iran with regional repercussions, and a landmark UN resolution recognizing the transatlantic slave trade as a grave crime demanding reparations.

This week in defense, drone strikes intensified in Ukraine and Sudan, while Iran's ongoing conflict with the US and Israel reverberated across the Middle East, impacting regional security and global energy routes. Simultaneously, Ukraine deepened defense cooperation with Gulf states, and strategic partnerships between…

This week witnessed significant developments in the Middle East conflict involving Iran, Israel, and allied states, alongside pivotal political movements in the United States amid the 2026 midterm primaries and debates over executive war powers. Concurrently, international governance and economic outlooks were undersc…

U.S. and Israeli militaries struck over 15,000 Iranian targets in 10 days, severely degrading Iran's missile and drone capabilities.

Four European foreign ministers urged Israel to drop a bill expanding capital punishment, citing discrimination risks and threats to democratic commitments.

Over the past week, market odds jumped 25 points to 99.9%, likely reflecting traders pricing in near‑term action as Israel’s war with Iran continues and Lebanon expels Iran’s ambassador.

The market probability that Netanyahu will be out by March 31 declined by 5.8 percentage points over the past week, likely reflecting ongoing regional conflict and political stability signals.

The market’s probability for a major Israeli ground offensive in Lebanon by Mar 31, 2026 jumped about 20pp this week to 98.7%, likely reflecting late-window repricing and broader escalation signals.