Venezuela
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Delcy Rodríguez end‐2026 Polymarket odds fell 24pp to 38%, likely a rotation into the Maduro contract. No Venezuelaspecific public catalyst in the provided fe...
The European Commission approved Italian regional aid for farm, fishing and aquaculture firms facing fuel and fertiliser cost pressures.
Washington supported Venezuela’s exit from the ICC, widening a diplomatic divide over the court and Venezuela’s political transition.
The UK sanctioned Sudanlinked gold networks it said were financing the RSF and SAF as international concern grew over El Obeid.
The Netherlands repatriated its USAR.NL team from Venezuela and committed €3m in relief supplies, with an additional €700k to the Netherlands Red Cross, the government said.
Germany sent five A400Ms for a twoweek humanitarian airlift to earthquakehit Venezuela, carrying THW teams and medical staff in coordination with partners.
State Department announced a DART, $150m aid, and equipment for Venezuela’s earthquakes, with UK and EU support and U.S. Southern Command backing amid UNICEF and OCHA alerts.
Parliament pressed EU leaders to accelerate enlargement and secure an ambitious longterm budget, framing priorities on Ukraine, security, and Western Balkans integration.
Odds Venezuela recognizes Israel by Dec 31, 2026 plunged 45pp to 12%, following fresh Mideast security signals and UK/EP statements; extreme 24h move.