Deterrence
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“US forces enter Iran by Apr 30?” drops 12pp; defensive US moves and EU oil-security focus cool near-term incursion odds
Polymarket Briefs · Apr 1, 2026
Polymarket’s ‘US forces enter Iran by Apr 30?’ fell 12pp to 58% on defensive U.S. deployment signals and EU energysecurity focus, an extreme 24h pullback.