Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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Last price
11¢
Yes
11.5%
No
88.5%
Liquidity
343,057.31
Vol 24h
727,682.091
Overview
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Start Date
Nov 5, 2025
Creation Date
Nov 4, 2025
End Time
Dec 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Days Remaining
199 days remaining
Live response · Last updated 6/15/2026, 1:22:31 AM
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