Iran leadership change by August 31? market

Iran leadership change by August 31?

Price history
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Last price
2.5¢
Yes
2.5%
No
97.5%
Liquidity
112,257.958
Vol 24h
224,101.592
Overview

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.

An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Start Date
Jul 21, 2026
Creation Date
Jul 21, 2026
End Time
Aug 31, 2026, 12:00 AM
Days Remaining
29 days remaining
Live response · Last updated 8/2/2026, 1:16:26 PM

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