Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? market

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Price history
Price and odds trends for the selected range and interval.

Current implied probability level.

Overlay a technical indicator on the odds.

Last price
Yes
4.5%
No
95.5%
Liquidity
135,063.7
Vol 24h
3,431.437
Overview

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Start Date
Feb 18, 2026
Creation Date
Feb 18, 2026
End Time
Jan 1, 2027, 04:59 AM
Days Remaining
103 days remaining
Live response · Last updated 9/20/2026, 12:42:46 PM

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